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One added line sometimes moved the higher risk patient back

UT Southwestern researchers gave three open source AI models matched pairs of emergency patients. One added stigmatizing line sometimes moved the higher risk patient back.

Read the story

UT Southwestern Medical Center published the release on October 20th, 2026. It says the study appeared in npj Digital Medicine. The team asked three open source AI language models to predict which patients were more likely to deteriorate and who should be seen first.

The records came from Stanford Medicine in California and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Massachusetts. Each patient was paired with another of similar starting severity. Philip Jarrett is the first author and Andrew Jamieson the senior author.

Before and after the added line

With no demographic, social or stigmatizing detail in the record, all three models picked out higher risk patients at rates well above chance. In some cases a detail unrelated to a patient's immediate condition led the models to lower the priority of patients who later deteriorated seriously. In some instances nearly 10% of patients were wrongly downgraded once stigmatizing detail was added.

One pair set the neutral "established patient with multiple chronic conditions" against "17 visits in the past 12 months". Some of the strongest effects came when records described patients as frequent emergency users or noted past psychiatric emergencies. Age shifted some decisions too. The researchers think that reflected the greater medical risk of older age.

Jamieson said a single added detail sometimes shifted a model's priority away from the patient who later deteriorated.

The earlier preprint

The authors posted an earlier version on Research Square dated May 4th, 2026. It had not been peer reviewed. That version tested two models on 999 pairs from MIMIC-IV-ED and 997 from MC-MED.

It tested 10 added conditions, each from a distinct demographic or stigma domain. Its most consistent harmful shifts came when the added line indicated psychiatric history, frequent emergency use, homelessness, substance use or altered age. Race, language and insurance status did not produce harmful shifts.

What the study can't say

Jarrett said bias varies by model, so each AI tool should be tested against real patient outcomes before use. The release says hospitals increasingly explore AI to help prioritize care. The preprint notes that both of its datasets came from academic medical centers in the United States. How the results carry to community hospitals is unknown.

Institutional funds from the UT Southwestern Office of the President supported the study. Follow-up research has grant funding from the National Foundation of Emergency Medicine.

Sources for this story

Claim-by-claim verification · 42 claims
  1. UT Southwestern Medical Center published its news release on the emergency triage study on October 20th, 2026.

    Published on: October 20, 2026

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  2. The release carries a Dallas dateline.

    DALLAS – Oct. 20, 2026 – Artificial intelligence (AI)-driven tools used in emergency triage

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  3. According to the release, the study appeared in the journal npj Digital Medicine.

    a study published in npj Digital Medicine

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  4. First author Philip Jarrett said stigmatizing language can steer clinicians away from the patients who most need care.

    stigmatizing language can steer clinicians away from the patients who need care the most,” said first author Philip Jarrett

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  5. Philip Jarrett is an assistant professor of emergency medicine at UT Southwestern.

    Philip Jarrett, M.D., M.B.A., is Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine at UT Southwestern.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  6. Andrew Jamieson is the senior author of the study.

    said the study’s senior author, Andrew Jamieson

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  7. Jamieson is an assistant professor in the Lyda Hill Department of Bioinformatics at UT Southwestern.

    Andrew Jamieson, Ph.D., is Assistant Professor in the Lyda Hill Department of Bioinformatics at UT Southwestern.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  8. Jamieson said a single added detail sometimes moved a model's priority away from the patient who later deteriorated.

    a single added detail sometimes shifted a model’s priority away from the patient who later deteriorated,” said the study’s senior author

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  9. The published study tested three open-source large language models, according to the release.

    asked three open-source AI large language models (LLMs) to predict

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  10. The models were asked to predict which patients were more likely to deteriorate and which should get priority for care.

    to predict which patients were more likely to deteriorate and who should be prioritized for care

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  11. The patient records came from Stanford Medicine in California and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Massachusetts, not from a Texas hospital.

    Stanford Medicine in California and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Massachusetts

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  12. Each patient was paired with another whose initial condition severity was similar.

    They paired patients with similar initial condition severity levels

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  13. With no demographic, social or stigmatizing detail added, all three models picked out higher-risk patients at rates well above chance.

    Before demographic, social, or potentially stigmatizing information was added, all three models identified higher-risk patients at rates well above chance.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  14. In some cases, information unrelated to a patient's immediate medical condition led the models to lower the priority of patients who later deteriorated seriously.

    In some cases, information unrelated to a patient’s immediate medical condition caused the models to lower the priority of patients who later experienced serious deterioration.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  15. The release says nearly 10% of patients were incorrectly downgraded in some instances once stigmatizing information was added.

    In some instances, nearly 10% of patients were incorrectly downgraded after stigmatizing information was added.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  16. Some of the strongest effects appeared when records described patients as frequent ED users or noted a history of psychiatric emergencies.

    Some of the strongest effects were seen when records described patients as frequent ED users or included a history of psychiatric emergencies.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  17. The models responded to some substance use scenarios differently than the researchers expected.

    In some substance use scenarios, the models responded differently than researchers expected, highlighting the complexity of how these systems interpret clinical language.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  18. Age also moved some decisions, though the researchers believe that likely reflected the greater medical risk of older age rather than age bias.

    Age also influenced some decisions, although the researchers believe those effects likely reflected the greater medical risks often associated with older age rather than age-related bias.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  19. The release pairs a neutral wording with a stigmatizing one. The neutral line is "established patient with multiple chronic conditions". The stigmatizing line is "17 visits in the past 12 months".

    they compared neutral language and stigmatizing language: “established patient with multiple chronic conditions” vs. “17 visits in the past 12 months”

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  20. Another wording pair set the neutral "opioid use disorder, on maintenance therapy" against the stigmatizing "active IV drug use, heroin, last use today."

    “opioid use disorder, on maintenance therapy” vs. “active IV drug use, heroin, last use today.”

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  21. Jarrett named a main takeaway. Bias varies by model, and every AI tool needs testing against real patient outcomes before use.

    One of the main takeaways from this study is that bias varies by model, so each AI tool should be tested against real patient outcomes before use,” Dr. Jarrett said.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  22. The release says how patient information is documented could affect whether these systems make fair and accurate decisions.

    the way patient information is documented could influence whether these systems make fair and accurate decisions

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  23. The release describes hospitals as increasingly exploring AI to help prioritize care.

    As hospitals increasingly explore the use of AI to help prioritize care

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  24. Institutional funds from the UT Southwestern Medical Center Office of the President supported the study.

    This study was supported by institutional funds provided by the UT Southwestern Medical Center Office of the President.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  25. The research has also received grant funding from the National Foundation of Emergency Medicine for follow-up work.

    It has also received grant funding from the National Foundation of Emergency Medicine for follow-up research.

    UT Southwestern Medical Center news release · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  26. The May preprint's Research Square page says it has not been peer reviewed by a journal.

    This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal.

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, abstract page · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  27. The preprint was posted to Research Square on May 4th, 2026.

    Posted Date: May 4th, 2026

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  28. The May preprint is released under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

    This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  29. The preprint's cover page says a version was published in npj Digital Medicine on September 19th, 2026.

    A version of this preprint was published at npj Digital Medicine on September 19th, 2026.

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  30. In the May preprint, the two models tested were GPT-4.1 and DeepSeek v3.2.

    Two models were evaluated: GPT-4.1 (OpenAI, accessed via Microsoft Azure) and DeepSeek v3.2

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  31. In the May preprint, each patient pair was matched on ESI triage level and held one patient who deteriorated and one who did not.

    ESI-matched patient pairs, one deteriorator and one non-deteriorator, were evaluated by two LLMs

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  32. In the May preprint, deterioration counted ICU admission, intubation, vasopressor initiation or mechanical ventilation within 6 hours of arrival, as well as in-hospital death.

    within 6 hours of arrival: intensive care unit (ICU) admission, intubation, vasopressor initiation, or mechanical ventilation, as well as in-hospital death

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  33. In the May preprint, the researchers sampled 999 pairs from MIMIC-IV-ED and 997 from MC-MED.

    We sampled 999 pairs from MIMIC-IV-ED and 997 from MC-MED

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  34. The May preprint tested 10 conditions, each drawn from a distinct demographic or stigma domain.

    We tested 10 conditions, each a representative exemplar from a distinct demographic or stigma domain

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  35. In the May preprint, the frequent ED visitor condition added a line reporting 17 visits in the past 12 months.

    ED visit history: 17 visits in the past 12 months

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  36. In the May preprint, the psychiatric history condition added bipolar disorder and 3 prior psychiatric emergency holds.

    Psychiatric history: bipolar disorder, 3 prior psychiatric emergency holds

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  37. In the May preprint, the active substance use condition described active IV drug use of heroin, last used that day.

    Substance use: active IV drug use [heroin], last use today

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  38. The May preprint found no harmful shifts from race, language or insurance status.

    Race, language, and insurance status did not produce harmful shifts.

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  39. In the May preprint, harmful reprioritization rates ran from 2.9% to 10.7% for psychiatric history and from 2.9% to 9.9% for frequent ED visitor status.

    psychiatric history (2.9% to 10.7%), frequent ED visitor status (2.9% to 9.9%)

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  40. In the May preprint, DeepSeek v3.2 showed larger effect sizes than GPT-4.1 for the stigma conditions.

    DeepSeek v3.2 consistently exhibited larger effect sizes than GPT-4.1 for stigma conditions

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  41. The May preprint says its two datasets come from academic medical centers in the United States and that generalizability to community hospitals is unknown.

    the two datasets are from academic medical centers in the United States, and generalizability to community hospitals or international settings is unknown

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026

  42. In the May preprint, the most consistent harmful shifts came when the added line indicated psychiatric history, frequent ED use, homelessness, substance use or altered age.

    the most consistent harmful shifts occurred when the added information indicated psychiatric history, frequent ED use, homelessness, substance use, or altered age

    Research Square preprint rs-9249025 v1, full text · Checked October 23rd, 2026