Texas AI Docket

Texas Grid Watch

What large load has asked the Texas grid for, and what it is actually drawing. Most of that queue is data centers. The data centers page names the ones the state has registered. Measured, never predicted.

The Queue Gap

Large load has asked ERCOT for 410 GW. 4.1 GW of it is drawing power.

Asked for 410 GW
Drawing power 4.1 GW

87% of the queue is data centers. Queue read March 26th, 2026. The rest read September 2026. Both from ERCOT.

For scale

The queue 410 GW
Record peak reported for September 2026 86.6 GW

The queue is 4.7 times the record peak reported for September 2026.

Where it stands

  1. Asked for410 GW100%
  2. Cleared to switch on9.5 GW2.3%
  3. Actually drawing4.1 GW1%

It has not moved all year

  1. 8,7874,049
  2. 9,0434,037
  3. 9,0424,008
  4. 9,0124,006
  6. 8,9263,966
  7. 9,4564,370
  8. 9,4564,316
  9. 9,4564,132

Cleared to switch on Actually drawing megawatts

Every figure ERCOT has published this year. The queue grew to 410 GW over the same months.

Yesterday on the grid

Settled November 13th, 2026 95 days held next reading November 15th, 2026
015304560 54.5 GW at 3pm to 4pm42.5 GW at 2am to 3am midnightnoonmidnight GW 2,000-2,000MW
Measured demand, peak and trough marked. The dashed line is ERCOT's forecast. It sits close enough to overlap. The scale starts at zero, so the flatness is real. The strip below is forecast minus measured, scaled separately because a miss is one pixel up here.
Peak54.5GW3pm to 4pm
Trough42.5GW2am to 3am
Mean49.3GWacross the day
Load factor90.4%mean over peak
Forecast miss-1,286MWERCOT forecast low

Demand against committed capacity

Demand at the peak hour reached 64.1% of the capacity ERCOT had committed for it. One color at every value on purpose. This is a measurement and not a judgement about whether the grid was comfortable.

What served it

Share of generation, then megawatt hours.