Texas AI Docket

Texas Grid Watch

What large load has asked the Texas grid for, and what it is actually drawing. Most of that queue is data centers. The data centers page names the ones the state has registered. Measured, never predicted.

The Queue Gap

Large load has asked ERCOT for 410 GW. 4.3 GW of it is drawing power.

Asked for 410 GW
Drawing power 4.3 GW

87% of the queue is data centers. Queue read March 26th, 2026. The rest read August 2026. Both from ERCOT.

For scale

The queue 410 GW
Record peak, all of Texas 90.8 GW

The queue is 4.5 times the most power Texas has ever used at once.

Where it stands

  1. Asked for410 GW100%
  2. Cleared to switch on9.5 GW2.3%
  3. Actually drawing4.3 GW1.1%

It has not moved all year

  1. 8,7874,049
  2. 9,0434,037
  3. 9,0424,008
  4. 9,0124,006
  6. 8,9263,966
  7. 9,4564,370
  8. 9,4564,316

Cleared to switch on Actually drawing megawatts

Every figure ERCOT has published this year. The queue grew to 410 GW over the same months.

Yesterday on the grid

Settled September 29th, 2026 51 days held next reading October 1st, 2026
0255075100 80.9 GW at 4pm to 5pm55.5 GW at 4am to 5am midnightnoonmidnight GW 2,000-2,000MW
Measured demand, peak and trough marked. The dashed line is ERCOT's forecast. It sits close enough to overlap. The scale starts at zero, so the flatness is real. The strip below is forecast minus measured, scaled separately because a miss is one pixel up here.
Peak80.9GW4pm to 5pm
Trough55.5GW4am to 5am
Mean67.8GWacross the day
Load factor83.8%mean over peak
Forecast miss765MWERCOT forecast high

Demand against committed capacity

Demand at the peak hour reached 74.9% of the capacity ERCOT had committed for it. One color at every value on purpose. This is a measurement and not a judgement about whether the grid was comfortable.

What served it

Share of generation, then megawatt hours.